The dollar continued to face downside pressure following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Concerns were raised by FOMC members over potential labour market deterioration, with the majority of the members signalling that a September rate cut might be appropriate. This dovish narrative provided buoyancy to the equity market, as all major U.S. indexes gained in the last session.
The equity markets continued their upward momentum, driven by the easing of the Japanese Yen's strength. The Yen was pressured by a dovish tone from Japanese authorities, signalling that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) might keep its monetary policy unchanged amid rising global economic uncertainties.
The financial markets reacted positively to the upbeat Initial Jobless Claims data released yesterday, which came in at 233k, lower than market expectations. This eased concerns about a weakening labour market and the heightened recession risks that emerged after last Friday's disappointing NFP report. Wall Street benefited from the improved risk appetite, with the Nasdaq leading gains, surging by over 400 points in the last session.
The highly anticipated Fed’s interest rate decision was disclosed yesterday, hammering the dollar’s strength lower as Fed Chief Jerome Powell explicitly signalled that a September rate cut is possible. The U.S. central bank is balancing both inflation and recession risks, with interest rates adjusted to curb inflation while maintaining a solid labour market.
Wall Street continues to face downside risks, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 sliding in yesterday's session while the Dow Jones eked out a marginal gain.
The dollar continues to tumble, trading at its lowest level since April, below the $104 mark. The U.S. Beige Book suggests economic growth has moderated and inflation shows signs of easing, strengthening the likelihood of a September rate cut. Improved risk appetite in the market propelled the Dow Jones up nearly 300 points in the last session, breaking its all-time high.
he U.S. equity market continued its rally in yesterday's session, with the Dow Jones approaching its all-time high near the 41,000 mark. The Russell 2000 (US2000) small-cap index surged more than 10% since last Thursday, suggesting that strategists have been rotating their exposure to small-cap counters, which are more sensitive to interest rate changes.
The dollar's recent strength was tempered by last Friday's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) reading, which aligned with market expectations. The mixed results of recent U.S. economic indicators have cast uncertainty over the Federal Reserve's upcoming monetary policy moves, although part of the market remains optimistic about an October rate cut.
On the back of the upbeat CB Consumer Confidence reading of 100.4, several Fed governors issued hawkish comments on upcoming monetary policy, which ultimately bolstered the dollar's strength. Despite the Fed's hawkish outlook, the U.S. equity market rallied, driven by Nvidia, the AI bellwether company, which rose approximately 7%, fueling gains in the Nasdaq and S&P 500
After digesting Jerome Powell's comments following the FOMC interest rate decision on Wednesday, the dollar erased all its losses from the soft CPI reading, continuing its upward trajectory. The hawkish outlook from the Fed stimulated dollar strength against its peers, while the bullish momentum in equity markets was hindered by the prospect of prolonged high interest rates.
he market saw muted activity as both the U.S. and the U.K. observed public holidays in yesterday's session. The dollar index (DXY) edged lower, failing to hold above the 104.50 level. This decline comes as the market anticipates signs of cooling U.S. inflation ahead of the PCE reading due on Friday. Meanwhile, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) announced a reduction in Wall Street settlement times, aiming to complete transactions in a single day.
In yesterday's market, the U.S. equity market took a breather after all three major indexes had risen more than 5% in May. All eyes are now on Nvidia’s earnings report due on Wednesday, which has the potential to spur the equity market further. In Asia, the Chinese stock markets also saw a retracement, with fresh data indicating that the property sector in China remains a significant concern.
A Rat Race to the bottom in the rescue of the Dollar
Analysis for the week ahead: Markets remain worried by global recession fears
The dollar was down on Wednesday morning in Asia but held near a one-year high amid rising speculation that the U.S. Federal Reserve will announce the beginning of asset tapering in November 2021, followed by potential interest rate hikes by the middle of 2022.
The U.S. dollar edged higher against a basket of currencies on Thursday, as increased restrictions in parts of the world to contain the spread of COVID-19, including the new Omicron variant, tempered investors' appetite for riskier currencies.
The dollar was up on Tuesday morning in Asia as concerns about the omicron COVID-19 variant started receding.
While former Vice President Joe Biden returned to the White House with a record number of ballots, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen was picked to be Treasury Secretary.